Peter Black - Former AM ?

Could that be the headline after the Assembly election in May?

A YouGov poll has today been released that gives details for the forthcoming election. It's looking like a Labour majority, increasing their AM's by 9. Suprisingly the Conservatives remain the same. Plaid Cymru take a hit losing 4 AM's, but the hardest hit are the Lib Dem's leaving them with only 2 AM's just from the regional vote.
It goes on to show that the regional list for South Wales West, will lose it's Lib Dem AM, who at present is Peter Black.
The only downside is that Peter will now lose his 'two-jobs' monicker, but I'll be happy to title him 'Former AM' instead.

YouGov poll released today (copied from Britain Votes) :
Labour 32 constituencies + 3 regionals = 35 AM's (+9) 
Conservatives 3 constituencies + 9 regionals = 12 AM's (unchanged)
Plaid Cymru 5 constituencies + 6 regionals = 11 AM's (-4)
Liberal Democrats 0 constituencies + 2 regionals = 2 AM's (-4)
Labour overall majority of 10

On further analysis of the survey spreadhseet, it looks even more worrying for the Lib Dem's.
Only 75% of traditional Lib Dem voters would again vote for them in the regional vote. Their vote would instead be transferred to Conservative (14%), Labour (5%), UKIP (5%), Plaid Cymru (1%).